AI Agents and Prediction Markets

AI Agents and Prediction Markets
How do AI agents change prediction markets, and what does it take to build these products across the US and Japan?
Join Tokyo AI and Orrick for three short talks and a 45-minute panel. A former CFTC official will examine the US regulatory outlook, while the founders of POYP and MIRAIMA will bring perspectives from Japan on AI traders, points-based participation and collective forecasts.
For AI builders, founders, researchers, and product or compliance teams. No prior knowledge of prediction markets is required.
When: Tuesday, October 13, 2026, 18:00-21:00 JST
Where: Tokyo Venture Capital Hub, Azabudai Hills Garden Plaza B, Toranomon, Minato City, Tokyo
Agenda
Three 15-minute talks are followed by a 45-minute panel, including audience Q&A.
18:00 - Doors open
18:30-18:40 - Welcome and introduction
18:40-18:55 - Talk 1: US Prediction Markets: The Year Ahead (Dan Ullman)
18:55-19:10 - Talk 2: What Happens When AI Trades the Future? (Takanori Shirasaka / shora)
19:10-19:25 - Talk 3: MIRAIMA: Points, Participation and Collective Forecasts (Keita Adachi)
19:25-20:10 - Moderated panel and audience Q&A
20:10-21:00 - Networking and refreshments
21:00 - Doors close
Talks
Talk 1: US Prediction Markets: The Year Ahead
Speaker: Dan Ullman, partner at Orrick.
Bio: Dan advises crypto, fintech and gaming clients on regulatory and enforcement matters. He spent 16 years at the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission, most recently as an Associate Director in its Division of Enforcement. His work covers prediction markets and event contracts.
Description: Prediction markets have taken the US by storm, capturing the imagination of market participants while raising questions from regulators and state authorities. Dan will explore where the US currently stands with respect to Prediction Markets, what’s currently happening in this space from a market and regulatory perspective, and what we can expect to evolve over the next 12 months.
Talk 2: What Happens W